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Van Gaal seeks title push as Reds visit Stamford Bridge

February 6, 2016 Tags: , Matches No comments
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Manchester United, in fifth, travel to 13th-placed Chelsea on Sunday, with Louis van Gaal’s side seeking to mount a serious challenge for the top four. It is a sentence few would have believed if mentioned in August. Yet, mediocrity has struck at both Old Trafford and Stamford Bridge this season, with neither set of supporters enjoying the football on offer for much of the campaign. Read More

Chelsea v United: injuries hit United’s hopes

April 18, 2015 Tags: , Matches 5 comments
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It is Louis van Gaal’s biggest challenge of the season: Saturday afternoon’s trip to Champions-elect Chelsea. If the revival in Manchester United’s fortunes over the past two months has been stark then perhaps the truest barometer of the Reds’ progress comes at Stamford Bridge. After all José Mourinho’s side is yet to lose at home in the Premier League this season and is the Premier League’s champion in all but name.

Yet, the narrative of this match has changed much in recent weeks. Where United might once have travelled with some trepidation, although never voiced, Van Gaal’s squad boarded the train south on Friday in buoyant mood. Six Premier League wins on the bounce makes United and not Chelsea the league’s form team. Add Chelsea’s middling recent performances into the mix, albeit downbeat matches that have not translated into poor results, and there are reasons for United’s manager to feel confident.

The match also represents a marker, not only of United’s progress, but the club’s trajectory overall. Results over the past six games cannot mask United’s fall from preeminence; the club will end the season without a trophy for a second campaign in succession.

Yet, Saturday’s result could add to a sense of momentum heading into another pivotal summer. Victory at Stamford Bridge would say much for United’s renewed status, not that Van Gaal is prone to lessen the scale of the challenge United faces on Saturday. Chelsea will win the Premier League, but results over the past two months demonstrate that United will likely mount a serious challenge to the Londoners next season.

“It is bigger than big,” said van Gaal on Friday. “Firstly, Manchester United has not given the best results in away games and, secondly, Chelsea do not lose so much at home. So it will be very difficult. Chelsea play at home but I think they will be satisfied with a draw. However, of course they want to beat Manchester United and we want to beat them.”

The fixture also brings together Mourinho and Van Gaal once again. Once colleagues, now competitors, the Dutchman finds much empathy with his former assistant, who could have been United’s manager, but for the dubious decision at boardroom to appoint David Moyes in 2013.

Between them the former Barcelona team-mates have won 40 trophies – a drive for silverware that has kept Van Gaal working into his sixties and seemingly as vigorously as ever.

“We live for these titles, we are doing it for that,” said Van Gaal of the pair’s essential simpatico. “That’s the only satisfaction – that you have a title. If you are second or third, you can still play Champions League, but it is the title that is more fixed for you.

“It comes with your name and that is why managers are fixated on titles. When you reach that goal, you are happy. To be involved with the game, to be involved with young people to reach the goal is another goal of mine. That’s why I am still a manager because I don’t have to work anymore.”

On the pitch United’s challenge comes both in Chelsea’s imperious home record and a spate of injuries that robs the side of four key players. Injuries to Michael Carrick, Daley Blind, Phil Jones and Marcos Rojo will force the first major change in personnel in four games – and potentially an alteration to the successful shape Van Gaal has fashioned in recent weeks. It is a cruel blow at an inopportune moment.

With Carrick and Blind out, Luke Shaw is likely to come into a back-four that will also feature one of Tyler Blackett or Patrick McNair. In central midfield Van Gaal has toyed with the idea of dropping Wayne Rooney into a holding role, although Ander Herrera possesses the kind of game intelligence that is highly attractive in Carrick’s absence.

Mata will face his old club for the first time at Stamford Bridge and may well be joined in midfield by Angel Di Maria, United’s £60 million Argentine who has been out of the side in recent weeks.

“It cannot be worse because it’s two players in the left central defensive positions, and Jonny Evans is still suspended,” added Van Gaal.

“Blind and Carrick play in the holding position in midfield, so I have to change my line-up a lot against Chelsea. They are all from the game against Manchester City. Blind has played on because he always wants to play on, but the tackle from Kompany was of course the reason. Jones, I took him off the pitch already because he injured himself in the second half. Rojo, he was complaining after the match, and Carrick was also off. We had a big hope that Blind and Jones could reach this game but they could not.”

Chelsea v Manchester United,  Premier League, Stamford Bridge, 18 April 2015

Not that Chelsea Coach Mourinho holds any sympathy for United; nor for opponents left behind in the west London club’s wake this season. Victory over United would leave Chelsea 11 points ahead of Saturday’s visitors, while there is already a seven point cushion to Arsenal in second place. For the first time in five years it is Chelsea’s blue that will adorn the Premier League trophy in May.

“Their squad is amazing, in numbers, players, experience, solutions,” said Mourinho on Friday. “Every week in my office we put up on the big screen the squad and the options our opponents will have. When I looked this week, for the first time I realised what they have. It’s amazing.”

While Mourinho’s squad is smaller it is yet to face the plethora of injury problems that cursed United in the autumn – and might have derailed a successful Chelsea campaign. The Portuguese is, however, without top scorer Diego Costa on Saturday. The Spaniard is out with yet another hamstring injury, while Loïc Rémy faces a late test on a calf strain/ Didier Drogba is likely to start and 17-year-old Dominic Solanke has been called up as an emergency alternative on the bench.

“I know the ideal scenario for people in this country would be for the Premier League to be more like the Championship, with four teams separated by a couple of points and nobody knowing who is going to be promoted or even in the play-offs,” said Mourinho. “But, since day one, we have been top. We are boring.”

Boring is an adjective that can no longer be applied to United. The Reds picked up plenty of post-Christmas points, but in a style that was roundly critised until the past six matches. Now, with Van Gaal’s side emphatically dispatching Manchester City, to add to victories over Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur, momentum and a sense of excitement are reunited at Old Trafford.

It has been two years in the making. It will take another busy summer for United to catch up with Mourniho’s side, but the momentum is certainly with Van Gaal’s camp. Saturday will go a long way to testing just how far his side has come.

Teams
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Ivanovic, Terry, Cahill, Azpilicueta; Ramires, Matic; Willian, Fabregas, Hazard; Drogba
United (4-1-4-1): De Gea; Valencia, Smalling, McNair, Shaw; Herrera; Mata, Fellaini, Di Maria, Young; Rooney

Subs from
Chelsea: Cech, Filipe, Zouma, Oscar, Loftus-Cheek, Mikel, Cuadrado, Solanke, Rémy
United: Valdes, Rafael, Blackett, Thorpe, Januzaj, Lingard, Perreira, Wilson, Falcao, Van Persie

Head-to-head
Chelsea 48 – Draw 51 – United 72

Officials
Referee: Mike Dean
Assistants: S Long, D England
Fourth Official: C Pawson

Prediction
Chelsea 1-1 United

£1 bet club
Wayne Rooney to score first in 1-1 draw @ 35/1
Running total: £10.50 up!

United dominant but now comes the real benchmark

April 14, 2015 Tags: , , Opinion 6 comments
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Manchester United’s six-game winning streak – in the Premier League at least – is remarkable for many reasons. Not least because this is now a United side high on belief, quick in the pass and effortlessly creative – three qualities that Louis van Gaal’s side has infrequently demonstrated this season. And yet, save for defeat against Arsenal in the FA Cup, United’s winning streak has ushered in a bold new era at United. Sunday’s victory over Manchester City emphasised United’s metamorphosis; next weekend’s trip to Chelsea could well confirm the club’s rebirth.

City’s defeat is a case in point. It is not just that Van Gaal’s side dominated – City’s two Sergio Agüero goals flattered the visitors – but that United secured three points with such effortless grace. With more clinical finishing the home side could have bettered the six goals City infamously scored at Old Trafford in October 2011. Van Gaal’s side not only wanted victory more, but backed up desire with outstanding execution.

The Blues dished out humiliating defeat to United too often in recent seasons. Not least four Premier League victories in a row before Sunday and an aggregated scoreline in that period of 10 goals to two. That’s to say little of the aforementioned six scored against 10-man United four years ago.

This period of domination has followed City’s vast expenditure in the transfer market – one that has also fuelled two Premier League titles over the past three seasons. By contrast United’s decline was slow and then very quick – first starved of funds under the Glazer family’s ownership and then decimated by David Moyes ineptitude. Game after what seemed to be too many games City’s midfield bullied a meek United offering.

There was none of that on Sunday though, with United out-passing, thinking and working City. This was both a tactical masterclass by Van Gaal and an expression of a work-ethic that always has supporters on their feet.

In fact, just as City seemed to put aside recent poor form to start brightly, United once again demonstrated the strength of mental fortitude that Moyes so acutely destroyed and Van Gaal has rebuilt. After nine minutes the Blues were on top, but it says much that City never had it so good again. Save for Agüero’s late goal, Van Gaal’s side remained dominant to the last.

Little wonder Van Gaal was delighted with victory – an emphatic result and a performance that thoroughly vindicates the Dutchman’s methods. Special praise too for the strength of character to come back from Agüero’s early strike.

“We have showed that often,” said Van Gaal on United’s recovery. “I have more than once given compliments to my players about that because, in all the matches, we are going until the end with a great spirit and we have shown that against City.

“We didn’t start so well, Manchester City had the better start, but then we came back into the game because of the assist of David De Gea, more or less, for the first goal for Ashley Young. Then we gained confidence and we performed our game-plan much more. In the second half, we played very well with a lot of pace in our game. I was very pleased with the second half.”

Technically the home side was far superior too. While Juan Mata and Ander Herrera controlled the game with a nuanced range of passing from the right, it was Ashley Young and Marouane Fellaini that earned praise for taking full advantage of City’s weaknesses down United’s left. Michael Carrick was again outstanding as United’s deep-lying creative instigator.

Young’s pace and direct running seemingly compliment the out-ball offered by Fellaini. The Belgian won nine headers on Sunday, with United deploying the long-ball 15 per cent of the time – a ratio that is high in comparison to other Champions League chasing sides. Yet, in contrast to the aimless long-balls that too often creeped into United’s game during the winter, this time the Reds exploited City’s lack of height at full-back and failure to adequately cover the channels.

“Ashley was Man of the Match and I think that was right,” confirmed Van Gaal in the aftermath. “If I had to choose, I would have chosen him. Also Fellaini is very important in our game-plan and I’m very pleased that he plays for Manchester United and no-one else.”

The victory leaves United four points ahead of City with just six games to play and 11 beyond Liverpool. Champions League football next season is almost guaranteed, although United will benefit much from finishing ahead of City, Arsenal or both to avoid an early-season play-off next August. Second or third would also earn United a healthier share of England’s media pool from European games – an incentive for the bean counters as much as the ego.

Momentum also counts for much. United has it, of course, although games against Chelsea, Everton, Crystal Palace and Arsenal offer no guarantee of points. After all, three of those games come away from the safety of Old Trafford, where United has gained 43 of 65 points this season.

The first of that sequence is against Chelsea next weekend. Indeed, United’s trip to Stanford Bridge is perhaps the truest barometer of progression. The Reds’ improvement in the past two months under Van Gaal has been dramatic, but the Londoners are seven points clear for a reason and superbly effective at home. José Mourniho’s side is yet to lose at Stamford Bridge in the league this season and boasts both the best home record and best home defensive record.

Van Gaal’s team is also unlikely to enjoy the bulk of possession next Saturday – a stat recorded at more than 55 per cent against City – nor control midfield so easily. After all, Cesc Fabregas and Nemanja Matic advance a formidable pairing, especially at home. United will, however, benefit from Diego Costa’s absence, while understudy Loïc Remy is also doubtful with injury.

In the big picture Saturday’s game may count for little. Few believe Chelsea will lose the title now, nor that Liverpool will make up the 12 points required on United over the next six games. Yet, there is that momentum thing again. Victory at Stamford Bridge might just be a season-defining statement ahead of what is likely to be another busy transfer window.

Then there is the small matter of supporters’ pride. Reds have enjoyed just two victories at Stamford Bridge in the past decade. With one demon slain last Sunday, United’s bête noire of the Premier League era lies in wait. Van Gaal will have little doubt that United’s fans are owed a result in the capital.

“I am very pleased for the fans of course, because they have supported us when the results were not so good and now they are very good,” concluded Van Gaal on Sunday. “I’m very happy for the fans that they can walk through the streets without being embarrassed! They can go on the streets, hat up, and they can say now ‘we are, this year, the better team’.”

United’s performance next weekend may well add to that feeling.

Pride restored, now Reds can push on

October 27, 2014 Tags: , Opinion 7 comments
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The celebration was old school – Manchester United players piling on goalscorer Robin van Persie after the Dutchman struck home a 94th minute equaliser at Old Trafford on Sunday. Fans, players and manager left elated with the home sides draw against league leaders Chelsea. No more – probably no less – than the Reds deserved for an enterprising performance.

It is, though, easy to be carried away in the moment. After all, every high under David Moyes last season proved to be as transient as the Scotsman with lows assuredly following every victory. It is with a sense of perspective that United supporters greet Sunday’s result; in the narrative of more than a season of disappointments a draw with Chelsea, achieved moments from defeat, feels like a great leap forward.

This, however, was not a great United performance – not in the context of the last 25 years. It is why Louis van Gaal’s mission, above anything else, is to ensure that United moves forward with each result; to demand more from his squad rather than accept the populist platitudes associated with Sunday’s drama. Unlike the Scotsman, Van Gaal will lose nothing in translation from outsider to United manager – he is surely every bit the part.

Little surprise that Van Gaal should, in the aftermath, press home his desire for victory. No point gained for the veteran coach, but two lost given United’s superior possession and greater number of chances created.

“I’ve said to the players we could have won but we didn’t and that’s our fault,” said the Dutchman on Sunday.

“When you can do that against the best team in this league at this moment it is a good sign. But I’m not pleased as I still have the feeling we could have won and that we don’t take our opportunities at the moment. But we kept together and I think we deserved it. The most pleasing thing is we are showing again we are believing in making a goal in spite of the result being bad. At 1-0 behind, it is fantastic that the players are running until the 90th minute to equalise or win.”

It is a sentiment that demands a positive performance is translated into consistent results. After all, away from the elation of Van Persie’s late goal, the dispassionate view holds that United requires around 60 more points this season from 29 games to qualify for the Champions League. That is almost double the points averaged achieved to date. Or in other words, United can afford six draws and five defeats with 18 victories to enjoy a place among Europe’s elite next season. No small feat given this season’s form, but a manageable one for Van Gaal’s collection of attacking riches all the same.

There is another essential truth: that while United is yet to fully blossom this season, the trajectory feels right. The Reds’ 13 points from nine games is one less than Moyes earned over the same period – with a more friendly fixture list to boot – but few doubt that Van Gaal’s side is now on an upward course. It is also an analysis that is bolstered by an obvious truth: Moyes took Sir Alex Ferguson’s title winning side and obliterated its confidence and form, while Van Gaal is rebuilding from the ruins. Only the most myopic fail see United’s progress.

Much of this is an article of faith though. Objectively the Dutchman should face greater criticism this season. United’s results still place the club firmly in mid-table, with no guarantees that the minimum goal of Champions League qualification will be achieved. Yet, just as Van Gaal chooses to pour cold water on a joyous last-minute equaliser, so United fans seem willing to take the Dutchman’s record at face value. He can fail, for now at least.

There are significant questions though. Despite scoring Van Persie was often peripheral, making just 13 passes in a largely quiet game. Even Angel Di Maria struggled to reach previous levels of performance, although the Argentinian still created four chances. More worrying still was Juan Mata’s inability to influence a major game – it has become a frustrating pattern from a player so amply talented.

Elsewhere Van Gaal will enjoy the greater structure in his side’s defensive performance. Both Rafael da Silva and Luke Shaw were disciplined, while supporting the attack, and Chris Smalling enjoyed his best game in a United shirt for some months. Only Marcos Rojo betrayed some of the old nerves in gifting Chelsea two chances.

Then there is Marouane Fellaini, with a performance that drew positive reviews. The Belgian was more mobile than at any point during his tenure in Manchester, while making three key tackles and distributing the ball soundly, if over-safely. The former Evertonian will never become a technician of the sort expected at Old Trafford, but he confidence will swell from the momentum gained over the past two matches.

Indeed, this new impetus is a watchword for the team overall. After all, Van Gaal’s side is undefeated since capitulating so embarrassingly against Leicester City. While performances have rarely peaked in the interim, momentum is so ephemeral that is must be captured at every turn. It is a sentiment well understood by United’s players.

“A point that wasn’t much at half time was celebrated and deserved at the end of the game, although is not good enough to remain on the top of the table,” added Mata on his blog. “I’m sure that we will get better and better and we will climb to the main spots, where United deserves to be.”

This is also a statement of confidence that United fans are slowly coming to believe. Last minute goals have that effect. And while Van Gaal is not without his critics, and he faces significant challenges to restore United to preeminence, there is little doubt that more performances like Sunday’s will win over the terraces. More to the point, performances of a similar ilk against Manchester City, Arsenal and Crystal Palace in the month to come will push the Reds towards European qualification. It’s the minimum acceptable performance in truth.

Untied gained pride from Van Persie’s emotional late equaliser. It is not emotion that wins titles though. Points do – and they are now the only goal. It is a truth Van Gaal understands very well.

United v Chelsea: Di Maria ready for United’s biggest test

October 25, 2014 Tags: , Matches 7 comments
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It has been billed as the master versus the pupil; Louis van Gaal against José Mourinho. More than 15 years since they worked together at Barcelona the pair reunites as Manchester United and Chelsea meet on Sunday. Time has taken each on a different path, but somehow inevitably to Old Trafford. After all, the Portuguese coach was widely believed to be desperate to take the United job before David Moyes, inexplicably, was anointed by Sir Alex Ferguson last summer.

Moyes failed and in his stead Van Gaal is picking up the pieces of a disastrous season under the Scot. United’s squad has been blessed with an influx of £150 million worth of new talent, but the club’s stock has fallen such that the Reds start the fixture 10 Premier League points behind Chelsea. It is not often in the past decade that Chelsea has arrived at Old Trafford favourites, but the west Londoners do so and some.

Van Gaal’s side has rarely found the balance between attacking riches and defensive inexperience this season. Not least because of an injury list that has stretched, at times, to a full 10 players. That burden is easing, although the manner in which United’s forwards misfired at the Hawthorns last weekend, while the Dutchman’s back-four found itself all too often out of shape, is concerning. More than three months into the job, Van Gaal has much to do.

The contrast with Mourinho’s side is stark, of course, with Chelsea unbeaten and seemingly bounding towards the Premier League title even at this early stage of the campaign. Yet, while Chelsea leaps ahead on the pitch, Van Gaal is unwilling to be drawn into a personal battle with his former assistant – nor the ‘mind games’ seemingly the obsession of the fourth estate.

“I don’t know him as a manager because I am never there,” said the 62-year-old.

“I know him as a person and as my assistant manager. Maybe you know that I am always a controversial person and a lot of media has written about that. I am a little bit iron, an iron shield. Everyone can write or speak about me and I cannot change that. It took a long time for me to understand that but I cannot change what you are writing about me. So I have learned not to react and to believe in myself, my players and staff.

“When did I learn this? Since coming to England! Every human being reacts in his own way to what is said and you have to ask him why he reacts like he does, not me. We hardly speak to each other, only sometimes on SMS. When we see each other, we feel the warmth between us and our families, which is nice.”

Sunday is a test both of the Dutchman’s progress at United and the gap United must bridge more than any personal duel. In truth the Reds are some distance behind the country’s best, although on an upward trajectory that has kept criticism of  a stuttering start to the season to a minimum.

The easing injury burden helps, especially with key players Ander Herrera and Angel Di Maria fit to face the Blues. Michael Carrick could make the bench, while Wayne Rooney serves the final game of a three match suspension.

“Ander was already fit for the last game and, with Di Maria, I said after the match that normally it [the injury] should not be so heavy and it’s not heavy,” said van Gaal on Friday.

“So he has trained. It was only the first day that he didn’t train so he has trained from Thursday, no problem. I’m sorry to say no other players are returning. Even, for example, I let Michael Carrick play this evening in London for the reserves because I believe that he needs that. He needs to play matches, especially when you are five months injured. He told me it was his first appearance in the second team. Antonio Valencia and Jonny Evans are not fit enough.”

Manchester United v Chelsea, Old Trafford, Premier League 26 October 2014

Mourinho is without injured striker Loic Remy and midfielder John Obi Mikel, while Cesar Azpilicueta is suspended after being sent off against Crystal Palace last weekend. The Chelsea coach has already declared Diego Costa injured, although few in Van Gaal’s camp will be surprised if the Brazilian-Spaniard makes the Chelsea team. German midfielder Andre Schürle could start up front if Costa cannot start.

“If Diego is ready to play, he plays. I still don’t know who is available. Normally two days before the game I know the team, I have no doubts, everything is clear in my brain,” said Mourinho.

“Man United are in a fantastic position. You are in a difficult position when you don’t have the funds to be behind the rebuilding of a team. When you have the funds you have to buy well and coach them well, and I know Louis is capable of buying and coaching them well so they are fine. But we are very confident about ourselves.”

Mourinho, too, is keen to play down talk of personal rivalry, although the thought-experiment abounds of what might have been if United had appointed the Portuguese to the job he truly wanted last summer.

“I’m not playing against Louis on Sunday, Chelsea are playing against United. During the match I have no time – and he has no time – to look around and see who the opposition manager is,” insists Mourinho.

“Before the match and after the match he is one of my big friends in football and I will always be happy to see him. I’ve never hidden what I feel about him. As a young coach to be working four consecutive years at a club like Barcelona – one with Mr Robson and three with Louis – was very important.”

On Sunday, however, it is the pupil who remains favourite to take the spoils.

Teams
United (4-1-2-1-2): de Gea; Rafael, Jones, Rojo, Shaw; Blind; Herrera, Di Maria; Mata; Van Persie, Falcao
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Ivanovic, Terry, Cahill, Felipe; Matic, Fabregas; Hazard, Oscar, Willian; Costa

Subs from
United: Lindegaard, Blackett, Vermijl, Thorpe, Smalling, Janko, Fletcher, Carrick, Pereira, Fellaini, Anderson, Januzaj, Wilson
Chelsea: Cech, Zouma, Aké, Drogba, Salah, Ramires, Christensen, Boga, Baker, Solanke, Drogba

Head-to-head
United 70 – Draw 50 – Chelsea 48

Officials
Referee: Phil Dowd
Assistants: G Beswick, D Cann
Fourth Official: C Foy

Prediction
United 0-1 Chelsea

£1 bet club
Chelsea to win 1-0 and Costa to score @ 20/1
Running total: £(-)9

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Data Rant: Rooney’s sale makes sense

May 31, 2014 Tags: , , Data 34 comments
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Paul Scholes caused much ruckus this week by claiming that “Wayne [Rooney’s peak] could have been … when he was 26.” Sir Alex Ferguson’s vehement efforts to dispatch Rooney also hints at something more than simply a personality clash. After all, on the pitch, the 28-year-old has been mediocre for three seasons now. The new four-year contract gifted to Rooney may prove to be the worst legacy of David Moyes’ era at Manchester United.

Louis van Gaal’s opinion on Rooney will certainly be interesting. The English forward’s versatility might appeal to van Gaal, but the Dutchman has surely spent too much time at Ajax and Barcelona to look past Rooney’s, sometimes horrifying, first touch. The incoming United manager could very well have instructed Ed Woodward to find a new home for the Scouser already.

For United, transferring Rooney to a continental club would be ideal, but not only does his huge wage offer a stumbling block, many top European clubs do not need the forward or have a better version already. Thomas Muller and Angel di Maria are just two examples.

England beckons, then, and Chelsea is the only realistic destination for the forward. Only Eden Hazard succeeded in scoring more than 10 goals in 2013/14 for Chelsea so there is a clear need for a number nine at Stamford Bridge. José Mourinho has long been an admirer of Rooney and the English striker would offer dependable firepower to Chelsea’s frontline. It is a marriage that suits all parties.

United’s most iconic player leaving for a rival could be a public relations nightmare, of course, and the Mourinho system is tailor-made for Rooney, which may allow the Englishman to flourish. Yet, if Rooney’s physical decline continues, the Reds will have the last laugh.

The London side was just as defensive as United last season, but managed to score seven more goals and concede 16 less across the campaign – this was achieved with the same 53 per cent average possession. The mobility and technical approach offered by Hazard and Willian, however, allowed the Blues to dribble past opponents where United did not. A classy striker will make the system tick.

table-1 - attacking attributes/goals scored

The data shows that Willian and Samuel Eto’o bear resemblance to Rooney and the Englishman would be a great replacement for the departing Cameroonian. Rooney’s scoring record last season was better last season than any Chelsea strikers.

Tactically Rooney should fit with Mourinho’s system. Juan Mata was ostracized at Stanford Bridge for doing little of the dirty work and Hazard was publicly chastised by Mourinho for the same reason. Considering that Rooney is diligent to the point of indiscipline there is every reason for the Portuguese to chase the wayward English striker.

Figure-1 - attacking attributes / goals scored

 

Deducing from the statistics of Chelsea’s forwards, Rooney could be expected to score 10 league goals if he moved to London. Apart from penalties, Rooney has largely monopolised set pieces at United – a luxury he will not enjoy at Chelsea – and his figures might drop even further as a result. Oscar and Hazard run the midfield so Rooney would be on the pitch to finish alone.

There are plenty of other striking options for Chelsea, with the London club closing in on Diego Costa, who is better finisher and might even cost less. Indeed, Rooney was probably earmarked for a defensive forward role last summer, such as that taken by Ji-Sung Park, which would have diminished Rooney’s output further.

Of course, statistics are only a guide, but the analysis suggests that Rooney might fall further from his peak in the coming years. If United took a Machiavellian view, the damage inflicted on Chelsea by Rooney declining rapidly at Stamford Bridge, far outweighs any chance of the English forward recovering the form of yesteryear.

The really frightening thing for United fans is that this analysis assumes Rooney will stay in rude health next season. He rarely has in the past.

Preview: Chelsea v Manchester United

January 18, 2014 Tags: , Matches 10 comments
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Rarely, over the past decade, can Manchester United have been such outsiders for a trip to Stamford Bridge. True, Chelsea’s financial doping has bridged the chasm in size between the clubs since Roman Abramovich acquired the west Londoners in 2004, but rare indeed have the Reds been at such a comparatively low ebb. Victory over Swansea City last weekend has bought a little time, but with Chelsea slowly finding something close to championship form, few will back United to achieve a positive result. Indeed, odds of 4-1 or longer can be found on a win for the visitors. It can’t have been seen often, if ever.

Still, this is only a measure of United’s regression this season, with the Reds having slipped to six league defeats under David Moyes. The Reds head into Sunday’s match nine points behind Chelsea and 11 behind leaders Arsenal, but perhaps more significantly, six behind Liverpool as of Saturday evening. Defeat at Stamford Bridge might just be fatal to Moyes’ ambition of qualifying for next season’s Champions League.

By contrast José Mourinho has brought a little stability to a Chelsea squad that is still desperately short both in central midfield and up front. Despite an inconsistent start to the new campaign the west Londoners’ have remained in contention this season. Mourinho’s outfit might not be favourites to take the Premier League, but now just two points adrift of Arsenal, Chelsea could yet secure the Portuguese manager’s third English title.

Meanwhile, the visitors seek to build on last weekend’s victory. With Sunday’s game rapidly followed by the Capital One Cup semi-final against Sunderland, and then matches against Cardiff City and Stoke City, Moyes believes that the Reds face a pivotal few days.

“There’s a chance it could set up a really good 10 days,” said Moyes on Friday.

“We won against Swansea, we’ve got a cup tie on Wednesday and could find it’s an important 10 days. Going to Chelsea is a big game and I’m looking forward to it.

“I’m more keen on winning the next game and the longer it goes, the more I’ll be able to start thinking about further down the line. But I’m always thinking about the top and not anything else.

“This is a big game for us to hang in there and we have to try to pick up points. There are a lot of games still to play. The recent league form has not been that bad and we should not have lost against Tottenham.”

Still, Moyes has never led a team to victory at Stamford Bridge, while Mourinho is yet to lose a home league match with the Blues. Indeed, the Scot’s record against leading clubs is as pitiful as Mourinho’s is impressive. Something might give, but on the surface it appears unlikely. Not least because Chelsea’s form has kicked into gear since defeat to Stoke in early December.

“Chelsea are improving and have started to find a balance with their forward players,” adds Moyes.

“They’ve got some really talented players like Oscar and Eden Hazard behind the striker they choose to play. They have got good players and a talented team.

“Chelsea have shown over the years they’re strong at Stamford Bridge and we need to go there and make sure we’re hard to play against. We need to make it a difficult day for Chelsea like they made it a difficult day for us at Old Trafford.

“The team here has been used to big games over the years and I don’t think I see this one any differently. It was a tight game at Old Trafford at the start of the season and there is a good chance it could be much the same. Jose has a great record at Stamford Bridge, so we need to try to change that.”

Chelsea v Manchester United, Premier League, Stamford Bridge, 4pm, 19 January 2014If Moyes side is to secure something from the trip south then it will do so without strikers Wayne Rooney or Robin van Persie. The Scouser has returned from a week’s recuperation in Egypt, while van Persie has been missing since mid-December with a thigh problem. Rooney could return for United’s Capital One Cup match in midweek, although the Dutchman is unlikely to feature for another fortnight at best.

“Wayne’s come back, he’s fresh but he’s not ready for Chelsea,” said Moyes.

“He’s training, he’s on the grass, doing some running and looking quite good. He’s had a break, done a lot of strengthening work around his groin and hopefully enjoyed a few days in the sunshine as well. Hopefully he’ll benefit from it, but not for this game.

“I don’t want to put a date on it just now as I don’t want to say he’ll be fit for whatever game and then I find he’s not, but we’ve just got to take it bit by bit. I’ve watched him running today; he looks well and is in really good condition.”

“I’m hoping Robin has a good chance of training at the start of next week, so if I can get him back out on the grass and back with us, it’ll be a great boost for us all. He’s a really important player, but he’s getting closer now.”

Fabio da Silva serves the last of a three match suspension, while Jonny Evans faces a race to be fit in time. Chris Smalling will feature in central defence if the Irishman is unfit. Nani and Ashley Young are both out.

Meanwhile, Mourinho is unlikely to start £21 million winter acquisition Nemanja Matic, although Frank Lampard could return from a calf problem to anchor Chelsea’s midfield. Defender Branislav Ivanovic is out with a knee injury, while the Portuguese manager will chose between Fernando Torres and Samuel Eto’o in attack.

Whatever the line-up, Mourinho’s record against United in London is near impeccable, although the Reds secured a 3-2 victory against nine-man Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last season. It was one of 30 wins at Chelsea’s home down the years. The odds – correctly it would seem – rank number 31 as a long-shot.

Chelsea v Manchester United, Premier League, Stamford Bridge, 4pm, 19 January 2014

Possible Teams
Chelsea (4-2-31): Cech; Azpilicueta, Terry, Cahill, Cole; Luiz, Lampard; Ramires, Oscar, Hazard; Torres. Subs from: Schwarzer, Hilario, Eto’o, Mikel, Willian, Schurrle, Mata, Essien, Ba, Kalas, Matic

United (4-5-1): De Gea; Rafaek, Vidić, Evans, Evra; Valencia, Carrick, Cleverley, Fletcher, Januzaj; Welbeck. Subs from: Lindegaard, Smalling, Buttner, Kagawa, Zaha, Giggs, Hernández

Head-to-head
Chelsea 47 Draw 50 United 72

Officials
Referee: Phil Dowd
Assistants: M Mullarkey, S Ledger
Fourth Official: L Probert

Prediction
1-0

Matchday Forum discussion

Preview: United v Chelsea

August 25, 2013 Tags: , Matches
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José Mourinho returns to Old Trafford as Chelsea manager for the first time in six years, but for once his old friend and enemy Sir Alex Ferguson is not be in the home dugout. It is nearly a decade since the Portuguese ran down the Old Trafford touchline in celebration of Porto’s controversial Champions League victory in 2004; a moment that seemingly encapsulates the manager’s career. At once brilliant, infuriating, deceitful, and utterly conceited.

And permeating through the game remains Chelsea’s aggressive pursuit of Wayne Rooney this summer. Player and west London club have all but agreed the move south. United remain firm that the striker will not be allowed to move to a major rival for the Premier League.

Indeed, while Mourinho insists that no bid will be lodged before kick-off on Monday it is no coincidence that every major media outlet carried the story that Chelsea will offer up to £40 million for Rooney on Tuesday.

It only takes “an email” to place a bid said Mourniho on Friday. It is unlikely to be sent given United’s stance, with Mourinho keen it seems to get inside the player’s head. The ongoing saga can do little but unsettle a player who has long since moved on – mentally at least – from his nine years in Manchester.

Still, while Chelsea has been left in little doubt that Rooney is not for sale by Ed Woodward’s “terse warning” this week, Mourinho claimed on Friday that the prospective move to the London club would benefit English football in the round.

“That old-fashioned mentality of ‘I don’t sell players to the same country’ doesn’t help the market,” said Mourinho.

“You see in Italy, it happens every season without any problem. The player wants to move from Milan to Inter, from Inter to Milan, from Roma to Juventus, from Juventus to Inter, and they do this all the time.

“Sometimes you push players abroad when you should be interested in keeping them in your league, because you are contributing to make your league the best. So when you want to sell and you are pushing the players abroad I think you are giving the wrong contribution to the league.”

Mourinho said little of the prospective transfer’s affect on world peace, but it is probably only a matter of time.

Disrupting United’s start to the season is part of Mourinho’s design, of course, despite the Portuguese’s disingenuous claims to the contrary on Friday. And whether ill-conceived logic, or a tactical double bluff, David Moyes insists that Rooney could start against his prospective employers, although it is more likely the player’s frame-of-mind is far from sound for a match of such importance early in the season.

Yet, the focus is not solely on Mourinho and Rooney for Monday’s fixture. After all Moyes will take charge of his first competitive fixture at Old Trafford. It is set to be a special day for the 50-year-old Scot who has endured a tough couple of months as Sir Alex’ successor.

“There has been a lot of things I have been looking forward to – like taking the team on tour and leading them out at Wembley. But to do it at Old Trafford for the first game against Chelsea is a thrill for me, it really is,” the Scot said Friday.

“It would have been, no matter who we were playing. It is just part of my job though and once you do it, you get on and do your job. It is a great honour to be manager of Manchester United. I don’t know anybody who wouldn’t want to be in this position.”

Manchester United v ChelseaThe Rooney question aside Moyes has injury problems throughout the squad, with Rafael da Silva unavailable, while Ashley Young, Nani and Javier Hernández are not yet ready for selection. The Brazilian defender will spend a month on the sidelines, while others, says Moyes, are still playing catch up from a disrupted by injury or international football.

The Scot will choose between Ryan Giggs, Danny Welbeck and Shinji Kagawa for a place on the left wing, with Rooney likely to start from the bench. Antonio Valencia should start on the right flank in what could be an unchanged side.

Off the pitch comparisons between the two new managers are inevitable. In 11 seasons with Everton Moyes failed to secure any silverware, while Mournho has garnered seven league titles and two Champions League trophies in a similar period.

Reserved, conservative and uncontroversial, Moyes was always considered the more appropriate choice by United’s directors. While Mourinho’s penchant for picking a fight, with ensuing potential for collateral damage, was never a friend of the Glazer family’s clean-cut image.

Still, the two men have little history of controversy, alhtough Mourinho has secured five victories from six meetings between Chelsea and Everton during the Portguese’s first spell in west London.

“I really like José, he’s had great success and I’ve not seen him for a long time so I’m looking forward to seeing him,” said Moyes.

“I came (to United) for this sort of level of game, but I came to win trophies. If you are going to win trophies then you are going to have to beat teams like Chelsea and Manchester City because that’s the way our league is. I’m looking forward to it. It’s one of 38 league games we’ve got this season and it’s a great first home game.”

Moyes is under pressure though, especially given United’s failure to augment the Scot’s resources during the transfer window. Despite Moyes’ decision to replace most of the coaching staff at Old Trafford the team remains Ferguson’s; a shadow lengthened not only by the length of tenure but trophy count. And even in this Mourinho’s capacity to create doubt figures prominently.

“The history of Sir Alex is there forever. Is that a problem for David? I don’t think so because I don’t think David wants to be compared with Sir Alex,” said the former Real Madrid coach.

“David is an experienced manager and this is the best moment of his career. He has maturity, experience, a big club, very good players so he is in a fantastic position and I think he is going to do very well.

“I hope he doesn’t win everything and leaves something for the others. He knows to be successful he has to win trophies, but he has the potential to do that.”

That goal will certainly be easier should United beat Chelsea on Monday, with a reverse leaving the west Londoners six points clear so early in the campaign. And wouldn’t it fit the narrative so sweetly should Rooney score the winning goal?

Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League, Old Trafford, 8pm 26 August 2013

Teams
United (4-4-1-1): De Gea; Jones, Ferdinand, Vidic, Evra; Carrick, Cleverley; Valencia, Welbeck, Giggs; van Persie. Subs from: Lindegaard, Buttner, F da Silva, Smalling, Anderson, Zaha, Rooney

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Cech; Ivanovic, Cahill, Terry, Cole; Ramires, Lampard; Oscar, Mata, Hazard; Ba. Subs from: Schwarzer, Azpilicueta, Mikel, De Bruyne, Van Ginkel, Schurrle, Lukaku

Head-to-Head
United 72 – Draw 49 – Chelsea 47

Officials
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Assistants: P Kirkup, S Long
Fourth Official: M Dean

Prediction
1-1

Preview: United v Chelsea

May 5, 2013 Tags: , Matches 118 comments
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The season may be winding down, but Sir Alex Ferguson appears in no mood to for his team to let up just yet. Manchester United’s creditable draw at Arsenal last weekend followed a slow start at the Emirates, but a strong second half performance left Ferguson’s men disappointed to leave the north London with just a point.

What then of United’s fixture with Chelsea at Old Trafford on Sunday? With little on the line for the Reds, but everything for Rafa Benitez’ visitors, it is another match of contrasting motivations.

The title secured, Ferguson’s men have little but a modicum of revenge at stake. And pride in the integrity of competition, of course, with Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur each chasing Champions League places.

After all, while United secured victory at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League earlier this season, Chelsea knocked Ferguson’s side out of two cup competitions during the campaign.

Meanwhile, Benitez has just a handful of games to secure Champions League football next season, with Chelsea in a three-way race for third and fourth spots in the Premier League.

United, in relaxed mood, will surely lack the a certain edge on the biggest occasion, of course. But if the Reds’ second-half performance against Arsenal is any evidence, Ferguson is unlikely to being in charitable mood. Not, of course, given the personal animosity between the Scot and Benitez, which has rarely been kept below the surface since the Spaniard’s “facts” rant in January 2009.

This is a relationship built on anything but trust and mutual respect. Indeed, Benitez is one of the few managers to eschew the norms of managerial conduct, says Ferguson. The Spaniard accused Ferguson of refusing to shake his hand after the 2-2 FA Cup draw  earlier this season.

“At the end of a game I always shake hands and we always have a meeting in my office afterwards with both sets of staff,” said the 71-year-old United manager this week.

“It is the right thing to do. It is an opportunity to get away from the game itself. You maybe see managers twice a year, so that opportunity to spend half an hour with them after a match is vital. You can discuss your jobs and a lot of issues.

“It is not easy if you have lost a game to go in. It is our chance to show we are Manchester United. No matter the result, go in. He (Benitez) came in once when he was at Liverpool. I don’t think he has come in again.”

Benitez says he will not share a glass with Sir Alex on Sunday either whatever the result.

Chelsea beat FC Basel on Thursday to reach the Europa League final, one goal of the three handed to Benitez when he took the reigns earlier in the campaign.

The west London outfit lost an FA Cup semi-final to Manchester City, while the Blues slipped to fourth in the Premier League after victories for both Arsenal and Spurs on Saturday. Next Wednesday’s clash against Spurs could prove decisive in the race for fourth.

But it has also been a period of upheaval at Stamford Bridge, with Benitez not only facing protests from the terraces, but standing accused of prioritising cup competitions over Chelsea’s greater need for Champions League football next season.

“He is very concerned about his CV,” jibed Ferguson. “He refers to it quite a lot.”

Meanwhile, Benitez this week accused Ferguson of buying years of success – and suggested that the relationship between the two managers has been strained only because of the Spaniard’s challenge to the older man.

“When you are with a top side, and you have had more money than anyone for years, then you can keep winning and you can keep talking,” said Benitez, who will again be out of a job come 19 May.

“He doesn’t (like me), he doesn’t, but it depends on the moment. You have to do what you have to do for your team. At the time (2009), he knew that Liverpool were very close. That was the situation. Now it is very different because they have won the title. But are they better than Manchester City? I am not sure. Are they better than Chelsea? I am not sure.”

Manchester United v Chelsea - Premier League, Old Trafford - 5 May 2013, 4pmWhile United’s points lead over City stands at 13, it is 20 greater than Chelsea’s. Still, Sunday offers another opportunity for bragging rights in a techy relationship between the two men.

Ferguson’s team heads into the clash fresher, but without a clutch of players. Ashley Young remains out, while Danny Welbeck is unlikely to return before next week’s fixture with Swansea City. However, veteran Paul Scholes should return to the squad for Sunday’s match.

“Welbeck is out of Sunday,” Sir Alex confirmed. “The rest are all fit. Scholes and Vidic are training and I’ll probably put Scholes on the bench on Sunday to get him back into the fray. I’d love him to play in the Swansea game.

“Chelsea have done fantastically well over the last few weeks and they are in the final of the Europa League. Chelsea are chasing a Champions League place as well and we’ll be playing the strongest team we can. We need to play with good enthusiasm and enjoy it. We should express ourselves and try to finish off a good season.”

Meanwhile, Benitez’ team heads north with rumours of José Mourinho’s return to Stamford Bridge resonating throughout the travelling support. It will do little but undermine the Spaniard’s position.

Still, with the Blues reaching the Europa League final, the mood in the camp is buoyant. The side also receives a double boost, with left-back Ashley Cole returning after missing Thursday’s Europa League win over Basel through suspension, and striker Demba Ba is also available again.

Oscar, John Terry and Eden Hazard could all return after being rotated out of the side for the clash with Basel. However, Benitez must balance his line-up against United against the one that played against the Swiss, and Wednesday’s crucial fixture with Spurs.

Match details
Manchester United v Chelsea – Premier League, Old Trafford – 4pm, 5 May 2013

Possible teams
United (4-2-3-1): de Gea; Rafael, Vidić, Ferdinand, Evra; Carrick, Giggs; Valencia, Rooney, Kagawa, van Persie. Subs from: Lindegaard, Büttner, Jones, Evans, Powell, Scholes, Cleverley, Anderson, Nani, Welbeck, Hernández

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Cech; Ivanovic, Terry, Luiz, Cole; Lampard, Mikel; Oscar, Hazard, Mata; Torres. Subs from: Turnbull, Hilario, Bertrand, Terry, Azpilicueta, Ramires, Moses, Benayoun, Marin, Ake, Ferreira, Ba.

Match officials
Referee: Howard Webb
Assistants: M Mullarkey, S Massey
Fourth Official: A Marriner

Form
United: LLWDWD
Chelsea: LWDWWW

Head-to-Head
Last 10: United 5, Chelsea 3, Draw 2
Overall: United 72, Chelsea 46, Draw 49

Stats

  • Wayne Rooney’s future may be uncertain, but his numbers remain positive, with 123 attacking contributions this season, as well as a pass in the opponent’s half once every 3.1 minutes on average;
  • French international Patrice Evra currently lies third in the United squad for crosses delivered with 42 – he is the second oldest full-back in the league to have broken the 30-cross barrier, behind Reading’s Nicky Shorey;
  • Danny Welbeck has been deployed up-front and on the flank this season, but boasts just a 56.3 per cent shot accuracy rate in front of goal despite managing an attempt on goal once every 42.2 minutes he’s been on the pitch;
  • Frank Lampard scored last week, edging the midfielder towards a club record goals tally – Lampard has achieved a shot accuracy rate of 63.5 per cent from 63 attempts this season, one shot every 44.3 minutes on the pitch;
  • David Luiz has made more interceptions than any other Blues player this season with 122, as well as averaging at a squad-best rate of defensive contributions – one every 13.1 minutes according to the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index;
  • Eden Hazard lies second to Juan Mata as Chelsea’s main creative force, making an attacking contribution (dribble, cross, shot on target or assist) on average once every 16.5 minutes, as well as joining an elite group of players to have made a pass in the opponent’s half  once every 3 minutes or less on average.

Prediction
1-1